Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO -650 UND +470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +32 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -13.4 (+18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -9.4 (+22.6) | 143.7 (+4.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -10.3 (+21.7) | 141.0 (+7.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -10.7 (+21.3) | 142.1 (+5.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -10.8 (+21.2) | 143.1 (+4.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2022 | IDHO 76 – 66 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#193) | -10.1 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#180) | -1.65 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#189) | -2.79 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#217) | 0.416 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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