Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO -163 UND +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +10 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | IDHO -9.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -5.3 (+4.7) | 135.4 (+6.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -6.0 (+4.0) | 137.7 (+4.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -6.0 (+4.0) | 137.9 (+4.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -5.6 (+4.4) | 134.5 (+7.5) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | IDHO 90 – 58 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-10 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#214) | -6.1 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#283) | -0.45 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#291) | -0.86 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#334) | 0.455 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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