Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | LAM -600 UL +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +10 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -19.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -15.2 (-5.2) | 132.1 (-12.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -14.0 (-4.0) | 129.8 (-9.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -14.9 (-4.9) | 130.6 (-10.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -15.6 (-5.6) | 129.9 (-9.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | LAM 74 – 45 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#150) | -13.6 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#119) | -2.49 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#115) | -3.60 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#267) | 0.402 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 12.8% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 37.7% |
Game Analysis
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