Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UL -155 LAM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +29 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | LAM -6.4 (-22.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -4.7 (-24.3) | 139.1 (-20.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -4.1 (-24.9) | 140.4 (-21.4) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -3.9 (-25.1) | 139.5 (-20.5) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -3.5 (-25.5) | 139.0 (-20.0) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | LAM 65 – 55 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 5-12 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#336) | 0.0 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#340) | -1.00 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#317) | -1.09 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#292) | 0.449 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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