Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | MONM -230 PRIN +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -9.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-25.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -3.8 (+1.2) | 141.0 (-20.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -5.8 (-0.8) | 140.0 (-19.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -6.2 (-1.2) | 141.0 (-20.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -5.4 (-0.4) | 139.6 (-18.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2024 | PRIN 71 – 67 MONM |
| Nov 18, 2023 | PRIN 82 – 57 MONM |
| Dec 11, 2022 | PRIN 91 – 54 MONM |
| Nov 25, 2021 | MONM 76 – 64 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#203) | -6.5 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#251) | -1.54 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#297) | -1.61 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#239) | 0.410 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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