Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -1200 MONM +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +37 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -26.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -16.5 (+20.5) | 141.7 (+3.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -21.5 (+15.5) | 142.5 (+2.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -23.3 (+13.7) | 141.4 (+3.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -24.1 (+12.9) | 142.2 (+2.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | MONM 63 – 58 PRIN |
| Dec 11, 2024 | PRIN 71 – 67 MONM |
| Nov 18, 2023 | PRIN 82 – 57 MONM |
| Nov 25, 2021 | MONM 76 – 64 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 3-10 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#64) | -13.6 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#80) | -1.52 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#70) | -1.88 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#111) | 0.411 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 24.9% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 59.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 81.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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