Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -8.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-15.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -3.6 (+8.4) | 144.5 (-4.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -7.0 (+5.0) | 151.2 (-11.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -6.0 (+6.0) | 150.5 (-10.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -5.4 (+6.6) | 152.7 (-12.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | MONM 63 – 58 PRIN |
| Dec 11, 2024 | PRIN 71 – 67 MONM |
| Nov 18, 2023 | PRIN 82 – 57 MONM |
| Dec 11, 2022 | PRIN 91 – 54 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 23-7 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-2 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 78.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#61) | 5.9 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#53) | 1.99 (#41) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#86) | 2.92 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#74) | 0.687 (#14) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 37.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.2% | 14.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.