Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -1600 MONM +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +4 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -16.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -12.6 (-8.6) | 147.4 (-9.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -12.8 (-8.8) | 146.8 (-8.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -12.1 (-8.1) | 146.7 (-8.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -13.3 (-9.3) | 146.1 (-8.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | MONM 63 – 58 PRIN |
| Nov 18, 2023 | PRIN 82 – 57 MONM |
| Dec 11, 2022 | PRIN 91 – 54 MONM |
| Nov 25, 2021 | MONM 76 – 64 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 75.4 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#128) | -9.5 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#76) | -2.16 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#95) | -2.64 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#76) | 0.382 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 36.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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