Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | OMA +150 UNCO -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCO -6.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -6.1 (+1.1) | 157.6 (-12.6) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -5.0 (+0.0) | 153.9 (-8.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -5.9 (+0.9) | 153.8 (-8.8) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -7.6 (+2.6) | 158.8 (-13.8) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#274) | 4.2 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#315) | 1.64 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#320) | 2.78 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#336) | 0.545 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 13.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.