Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | BC +260 LSU -325 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -12.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -5.7 (-3.3) | 141.9 (+5.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | LSU -8.1 (-0.9) | 143.3 (+3.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | LSU -6.4 (-2.6) | 141.8 (+5.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -7.2 (-1.8) | 142.9 (+4.1) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 10-7 | 9-8 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#160) | 17.6 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#194) | 2.55 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#173) | 4.01 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#209) | 0.594 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 54.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 40.9 | 43.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 61.3% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 38.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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