Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | AKR -6500 BUCK +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +20 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -29.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.9 (+9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -23.9 (-3.9) | 152.9 (+21.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -23.7 (-3.7) | 151.4 (+22.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -27.7 (-7.7) | 154.1 (+19.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -25.7 (-5.7) | 152.8 (+21.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-0 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#26) | -9.7 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#70) | -1.44 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#68) | -1.99 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#54) | 0.438 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 42.7% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.84 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.9% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.