Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -1350 GWEB +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +33 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -19.4 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -14.6 (+18.4) | 151.8 (+29.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -14.7 (+18.3) | 152.3 (+28.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -16.0 (+17.0) | 152.8 (+28.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -17.7 (+15.3) | 151.6 (+29.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | QUC 85 – 83 GWEB |
| Nov 30, 2023 | QUC 83 – 80 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 4-29 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 1-15 |
| Home | 12-2 | 3-10 |
| Away | 6-10 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.8 | 86.7 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#224) | -17.7 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#272) | -2.94 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#269) | -4.30 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#294) | 0.378 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 59.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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