Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -31.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -100000 COPP +5000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +42 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -29.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -26.0 (+16.0) | 135.4 (+4.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -24.6 (+17.4) | 133.0 (+7.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -26.8 (+15.2) | 132.4 (+7.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -26.6 (+15.4) | 133.3 (+6.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 3-6 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 81.0 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#90) | -18.7 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#164) | -2.63 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#150) | -4.48 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#173) | 0.358 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 79.5% | 61.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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