Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | KC +185 IDST -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +9 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -11.2 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -8.1 (-0.9) | 138.7 (-11.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -7.9 (-1.1) | 134.8 (-7.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -8.7 (-0.3) | 136.0 (-9.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -8.1 (-0.9) | 134.6 (-7.6) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | IDST 75 – 65 KC |
| Nov 23, 2021 | KC 74 – 58 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 3-11 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-15 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#327) | 4.8 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#335) | 0.05 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#328) | 0.32 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.351 (#350) | 0.502 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 23.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.4% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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