Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +16 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -3.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -5.1 (-10.9) | 126.2 (+5.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -2.7 (-13.3) | 132.6 (-0.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -4.0 (-12.0) | 132.6 (-0.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -3.5 (-12.5) | 130.2 (+1.8) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | IDST 68 – 59 KC |
| Nov 30, 2022 | IDST 75 – 65 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-14 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#318) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#283) | 2.00 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#267) | 3.13 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#340) | 0.750 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 4.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 14.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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