Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -305 RICH +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -11.7 (-19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -12.3 (-20.3) | 154.3 (+5.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -11.6 (-19.6) | 149.7 (+10.3) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -11.9 (-19.9) | 150.4 (+9.6) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -10.4 (-18.4) | 152.9 (+7.1) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | BEL 93 – 86 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-6 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 11-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 11.6 (#46) | 4.9 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#21) | 0.69 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.18 (#27) | 2.14 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#57) | 0.503 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.7% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.2% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 34.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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