Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | RICH +110 BEL -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +7 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -3.4 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -2.1 (-4.9) | 151.6 (+27.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -2.0 (-5.0) | 149.0 (+30.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -2.0 (-5.0) | 150.2 (+28.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -2.1 (-4.9) | 150.7 (+28.3) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | RICH 84 – 76 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-11 | 9-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#275) | 1.8 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#272) | 1.22 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.79 (#282) | 0.85 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#262) | 0.558 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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