Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | HALL -4000 CCSU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +16 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -15.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -12.2 (+3.8) | 137.1 (+0.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -14.0 (+2.0) | 134.8 (+3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -14.3 (+1.7) | 134.0 (+4.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -14.5 (+1.5) | 135.8 (+2.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#72) | -1.6 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#35) | 0.99 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.26 (#26) | 0.89 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#40) | 0.544 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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