Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | GT +110 MSST -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +12 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | GT -5.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -4.8 (-16.8) | 151.7 (+6.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GT -3.9 (-15.9) | 151.8 (+6.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | GT -4.5 (-16.5) | 146.0 (+12.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GT -4.6 (-16.6) | 147.7 (+10.3) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | GT 67 – 59 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-9 | 8-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#155) | -0.0 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#190) | 0.04 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#191) | -0.01 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#187) | 0.509 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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