Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ULM -550 MVSU +410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +14 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | ULM -10.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.6 (-50.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -7.5 (+6.5) | 153.1 (-35.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ULM -6.2 (+7.8) | 152.3 (-34.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ULM -6.2 (+7.8) | 152.9 (-34.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -7.3 (+6.7) | 150.1 (-32.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 3-30 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 2-16 |
| Home | 3-10 | 2-9 |
| Away | 1-15 | 1-18 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L8 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.4 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -15.5 (#355) | -20.6 (#365) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#350) | -3.17 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.62 (#349) | -4.43 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.267 (#364) | 0.351 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 60.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 40.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.