Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -455 CLEM +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +6 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -10.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -8.5 (-2.5) | 163.0 (+11.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -11.2 (-5.2) | 161.2 (+12.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -10.5 (-4.5) | 161.9 (+12.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -10.5 (-4.5) | 161.2 (+12.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 31, 2024 | ALA 89 – 82 CLEM |
| Nov 29, 2023 | CLEM 85 – 77 ALA |
| Dec 13, 2020 | CLEM 64 – 56 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.7 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#12) | 14.4 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#26) | 2.28 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.67 (#19) | 3.07 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.653 (#16) | 0.576 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.7% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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