Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -400 CLEM +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +8 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -18.9 (-26.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -13.5 (-21.5) | 154.1 (+7.9) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -13.4 (-21.4) | 158.8 (+3.2) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -14.5 (-22.5) | 158.1 (+3.9) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -16.2 (-24.2) | 156.3 (+5.7) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | ALA 90 – 84 CLEM |
| Mar 31, 2024 | ALA 89 – 82 CLEM |
| Dec 13, 2020 | CLEM 64 – 56 ALA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 90.1 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 18.9 (#5) | 6.4 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#53) | 2.80 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#55) | 3.58 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.673 (#20) | 0.635 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 43.0% | 39.7% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.5% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 39.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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