Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -1100 ODU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +9 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -15.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -12.8 (-3.8) | 151.8 (+11.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -15.3 (-6.3) | 149.3 (+13.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -16.7 (-7.7) | 149.8 (+13.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -16.9 (-7.9) | 150.8 (+12.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2021 | RICH 67 – 61 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-7 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#83) | -2.8 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#46) | -1.19 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.43 (#20) | -1.68 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#81) | 0.448 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 65.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 31.2% |
Game Analysis
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