Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Robins Center · December 19, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread RICH -11.0 Away covered
O/U 132.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total RICH win
Actual RICH +6 128 Won
Massey RICH -13.9 (-7.9)
Massey Totals 131.6 (-3.6)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 98%
Efficiency Plus ML RICH -10.7 (-4.7) 133.3 (-5.3) 83%
Baseline Tuned ML RICH -12.0 (-6.0) 136.2 (-8.2) 87%
Baseline ML RICH -11.6 (-5.6) 134.5 (-6.5) 86%
Baseline Plus ML RICH -11.2 (-5.2) 134.0 (-6.0) 86%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 6, 2025 RICH 8677 ODU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RICH ODU
Neutral 6-4 0-4
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Massey 5.7 (#87) -3.6 (#242)
Bradley-Terry 1.26 (#76) -0.71 (#239)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.83 (#73) -1.00 (#241)
RPI 0.577 (#64) 0.467 (#232)
Shooting & Four Factors RICH ODU
FG% 46.8% 41.4%
3PT% 38.1% 29.2%
REB / G 31.5 34.8
OREB / G 6.9 11.4
AST / TO 1.70 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.2% 44.9%
TOV% 14.5% 20.2%
ORB% 20.7% 32.8%
FT Rate 17.1% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.3% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 21.6%
DRB% 72.7% 69.6%
Opp FT Rate 18.5% 19.4%

Game Analysis

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