Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | CSU -130 COLO +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +5 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -6.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.7 (+13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -4.2 (+0.8) | 151.0 (+26.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -6.5 (-1.5) | 148.0 (+29.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -4.7 (+0.3) | 150.6 (+26.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -4.7 (+0.3) | 150.6 (+26.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | COLO 72 – 55 CSU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | CSU 88 – 83 COLO |
| Dec 9, 2022 | COLO 93 – 65 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#57) | 9.0 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#114) | 3.29 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#79) | 4.92 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#130) | 0.648 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.4% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 45.0% | 41.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.8% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.8% | 37.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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