Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -150 CSU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +17 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -7.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -6.9 (+10.1) | 148.8 (-21.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -7.4 (+9.6) | 146.2 (-19.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.9 (+10.1) | 145.4 (-18.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -6.9 (+10.1) | 146.0 (-19.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CSU 91 – 86 COLO |
| Nov 30, 2023 | CSU 88 – 83 COLO |
| Dec 9, 2022 | COLO 93 – 65 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 16-4 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 0-10 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#93) | 2.0 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#63) | 0.38 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#74) | 0.50 (#136) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#88) | 0.485 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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