Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | CSU -180 COLO +152 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -15.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -8.9 (-3.9) | 151.7 (+19.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -14.1 (-9.1) | 150.8 (+20.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -14.3 (-9.3) | 151.0 (+20.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -14.5 (-9.5) | 151.4 (+19.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CSU 91 – 86 COLO |
| Dec 8, 2024 | COLO 72 – 55 CSU |
| Dec 9, 2022 | COLO 93 – 65 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#7) | 7.4 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#6) | 0.95 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.08 (#4) | 1.33 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.687 (#9) | 0.534 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.9% | 50.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 42.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.06 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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