Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -200 CSU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +28 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -7.8 (+20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -7.7 (+20.3) | 139.9 (+18.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.7 (+21.3) | 143.1 (+14.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -6.9 (+21.1) | 143.1 (+14.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -7.9 (+20.1) | 143.9 (+14.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | CSU 91 – 86 COLO |
| Dec 8, 2024 | COLO 72 – 55 CSU |
| Nov 30, 2023 | CSU 88 – 83 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#58) | 5.5 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#112) | 0.53 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#92) | 0.66 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#46) | 0.512 (#160) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 17.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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