Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -750 UML +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -14.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -12.5 (+7.5) | 146.2 (-6.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -11.6 (+8.4) | 147.6 (-7.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -12.3 (+7.7) | 147.6 (-7.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -12.9 (+7.1) | 148.0 (-8.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | UML 96 – 83 MASS |
| Dec 9, 2023 | MASS 91 – 77 UML |
| Dec 9, 2022 | UML 85 – 80 MASS |
| Nov 25, 2021 | MASS 92 – 81 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#189) | -11.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#213) | -2.54 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#200) | -4.13 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#256) | 0.427 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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