Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +11 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -4.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -3.4 (+7.6) | 147.6 (+25.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -3.6 (+7.4) | 146.2 (+26.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -3.0 (+8.0) | 148.6 (+24.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -2.2 (+8.8) | 150.7 (+22.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MASS 80 – 60 UML |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UML 96 – 83 MASS |
| Dec 9, 2023 | MASS 91 – 77 UML |
| Dec 9, 2022 | UML 85 – 80 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#168) | 2.6 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#152) | 1.08 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#158) | 1.27 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#97) | 0.522 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 15.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 24.2% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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