Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -155 UML +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +13 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -5.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -3.7 (-16.7) | 153.2 (+25.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -3.6 (-16.6) | 154.4 (+24.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -2.9 (-15.9) | 155.8 (+23.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -3.0 (-16.0) | 153.8 (+25.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MASS 80 – 60 UML |
| Dec 9, 2023 | MASS 91 – 77 UML |
| Dec 9, 2022 | UML 85 – 80 MASS |
| Nov 25, 2021 | MASS 92 – 81 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#221) | -3.9 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#287) | 0.06 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#260) | 0.17 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#304) | 0.501 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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