Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -150 UML +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +5 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -2.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.1 (-10.1) | 143.3 (+21.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.4 (-9.4) | 142.3 (+22.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.0 (-9.0) | 142.4 (+22.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -4.3 (-9.3) | 143.1 (+21.9) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | MASS 80 – 60 UML |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UML 96 – 83 MASS |
| Dec 9, 2023 | MASS 91 – 77 UML |
| Nov 25, 2021 | MASS 92 – 81 UML |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 3-8 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#90) | 8.1 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.40 (#29) | 1.82 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.46 (#52) | 2.26 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#55) | 0.535 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 37.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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