Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WKU -850 EVAN +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +1 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -21.3 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -15.1 (-14.1) | 149.0 (+10.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -16.2 (-15.2) | 147.2 (+11.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -17.9 (-16.9) | 148.2 (+10.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -17.9 (-16.9) | 148.2 (+10.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | WKU 79 – 65 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 3-17 |
| Home | 12-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 78.3 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#88) | -9.5 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#108) | -1.39 (#289) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#109) | -1.91 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#134) | 0.452 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | EVAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 23.6% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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