Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +190 WKU -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +14 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WKU -2.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -0.8 (-13.2) | 146.2 (-2.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -0.9 (-14.9) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -0.2 (-14.2) | 144.3 (-0.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -0.2 (-14.2) | 148.0 (-4.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | WKU 80 – 79 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-9 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#251) | 1.8 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#229) | 0.50 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#168) | 1.05 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#258) | 0.544 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 20.8% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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