Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | MUR -1800 BELL +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -19.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -17.4 (-4.4) | 155.3 (-6.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -16.5 (-3.5) | 155.7 (-6.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -18.3 (-5.3) | 156.6 (-7.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -20.5 (-7.5) | 152.6 (-3.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | BELL 69 – 58 MUR |
| Nov 14, 2021 | MUR 78 – 59 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 83.3 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#85) | -7.0 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#127) | -0.97 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#157) | -1.81 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#218) | 0.472 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 24.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 61.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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