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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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63–33 on winners spread MAE 9.8 96 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gonzaga @ Kentucky -0.8 150.2 47% 94–59 ✓
South Carolina State @ Bethune-Cookman +9.8 146.3 87% 59–80 ✓
NJIT @ High Point +22.7 153.5 91% 72–89 ✓
South Alabama @ East Tennessee State +5.7 141.5 73% 65–91 ✓
Samford @ VCU +17.2 150.3 90% 57–83 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Iona +4.4 162.0 68% 89–68 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Lafayette -2.2 129.0 41% 71–79 ✗
Bryant @ Brown +4.1 131.6 58% 56–75 ✓
Niagara @ Siena +12.2 127.3 82% 54–83 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +5.6 128.3 75% 57–69 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist +13.7 133.5 86% 56–64 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan -1.1 157.2 60% 66–70 ✗
East Texas A&M @ UConn +27.1 137.7 91% 59–83 ✓
UAB @ Drake +4.7 144.3 65% 74–69 ✗
Cincinnati @ Xavier +6.4 144.3 77% 74–79 ✓
Northwestern State @ McNeese +20.5 142.3 90% 54–92 ✓
Notre Dame @ TCU +8.8 138.5 79% 87–85 ✗
San Diego @ San José State +7.2 135.9 78% 69–86 ✓
Iowa State @ Purdue +3.9 154.5 63% 81–58 ✗
Duke @ Michigan State +2.1 137.3 54% 66–60 ✗
Monmouth @ Georgia Tech +7.7 142.1 80% 67–79 ✓
New Haven @ Boston College +11.3 128.7 87% 63–67 ✓
Rhode Island @ Providence +2.7 154.3 55% 71–90 ✓
Dayton @ Virginia +9.0 149.7 79% 73–86 ✓
Southern Miss @ Miami +16.2 144.1 88% 64–88 ✓
UMBC @ Bucknell +1.7 139.2 65% 73–66 ✗
Old Dominion @ Richmond +12.8 151.8 88% 77–86 ✓
Utah Valley @ Bowling Green +2.8 141.0 65% 82–71 ✗
Maine @ Miami (OH) +15.8 134.5 87% 61–93 ✓
UNC Asheville @ NC State +16.3 151.6 89% 63–75 ✓
Drexel @ La Salle +2.2 132.0 54% 64–69 ✓
Western Michigan @ SIU Edwardsville +8.5 137.7 75% 83–73 ✗
Norfolk State @ James Madison +3.8 134.9 73% 67–68 ✓
Delaware @ Delaware State -6.5 130.3 22% 72–75 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Winthrop +14.7 150.5 88% 88–84 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Gardner-Webb -7.7 157.0 22% 88–84 ✓
Morehead State @ Presbyterian +5.7 127.4 61% 72–80 ✓
Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate +7.9 147.6 78% 67–78 ✓
Ohio State @ Northwestern +4.6 147.6 67% 86–82 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ West Georgia +3.4 151.3 68% 87–59 ✗
Stetson @ South Carolina +21.0 144.7 90% 51–82 ✓
Jacksonville @ Florida International +3.6 140.4 65% 65–88 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ American University +10.5 133.6 85% 60–78 ✓
Marquette @ Wisconsin +13.1 160.7 84% 76–96 ✓
Coppin State @ Liberty +23.9 144.8 91% 50–92 ✓
Boise State @ Butler +8.1 142.3 79% 77–68 ✗
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -3.9 157.9 37% 78–55 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +1.8 156.2 67% 71–59 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Purdue Fort Wayne -1.8 149.0 42% 77–79 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Buffalo +1.8 139.8 48% 77–69 ✗
Stony Brook @ Duquesne +5.7 146.6 79% 75–84 ✓
Holy Cross @ Fordham +5.9 130.0 69% 70–69 ✗
Harvard @ Furman +7.8 137.3 75% 69–79 ✓
Indiana @ Louisville +5.4 151.6 67% 78–87 ✓
Princeton @ Loyola Chicago -0.0 132.2 46% 68–73 ✗
Georgia State @ Kennesaw State +13.1 151.6 88% 69–92 ✓
Idaho @ South Dakota State +6.0 142.0 75% 84–81 ✗
Toledo @ Oakland +5.9 156.1 69% 97–98 ✓
Missouri State @ Tulsa +17.2 141.5 89% 74–98 ✓
Bellarmine @ Murray State +17.4 155.3 89% 68–81 ✓
George Mason @ Virginia Tech +1.4 146.5 59% 62–73 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan +19.7 149.6 90% 60–101 ✓
Fresno State @ Arkansas +21.5 155.9 89% 58–82 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ North Carolina Central -1.6 137.1 36% 69–54 ✓
Elon @ Wofford +3.2 158.7 69% 73–52 ✗
Marshall @ Ohio +0.0 150.6 54% 81–88 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Massachusetts +11.6 147.6 85% 60–80 ✓
Maryland @ Iowa +14.2 137.4 87% 64–83 ✓
Dartmouth @ Wyoming +19.4 151.0 89% 80–93 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Louisiana -12.6 126.5 12% 70–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Abilene Christian -5.4 129.0 28% 69–77 ✗
Evansville @ Western Kentucky +15.1 149.0 89% 79–80 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ East Carolina +3.0 141.8 69% 82–78 ✗
Le Moyne @ Binghamton -1.9 143.7 57% 78–63 ✓
Akron @ Tulane -10.4 161.9 20% 88–71 ✓
Seton Hall @ Kansas State +4.9 142.9 64% 78–67 ✗
Longwood @ Morgan State +1.3 144.8 44% 84–80 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Nicholls +2.2 144.8 63% 67–74 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Temple +2.7 148.4 66% 70–69 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Chattanooga +2.0 144.6 66% 74–70 ✗
Baylor @ Memphis +1.0 151.4 57% 71–78 ✓
Omaha @ Portland State +9.1 148.4 81% 60–55 ✗
Vermont @ Pepperdine +0.4 141.8 54% 65–56 ✗
Southern Utah @ Oregon State +14.2 145.1 89% 70–81 ✓
Kansas City @ Eastern Washington +6.6 145.6 71% 66–90 ✓
Sam Houston @ Texas Southern -9.5 155.3 18% 82–70 ✓
Colorado @ Colorado State +6.5 148.0 68% 86–91 ✓
Pacific @ California +10.0 140.6 83% 61–67 ✓
Long Island University @ Lehigh +0.7 143.5 56% 87–82 ✗
UAlbany @ Columbia +15.1 140.4 88% 65–93 ✓
Washington @ USC +6.7 156.3 76% 84–76 ✗
Oregon @ UCLA +11.9 142.4 84% 63–74 ✓
Denver @ Idaho State +11.4 140.5 85% 79–93 ✓
Wake Forest @ West Virginia -0.5 137.1 49% 75–66 ✓
William & Mary @ George Washington +9.7 158.0 83% 86–99 ✓
Houston Christian @ New Orleans +5.9 139.0 72% 85–76 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.