Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–14 on winners spread MAE 10.8 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ New Hampshire -4.6 133.4 31% 82–88 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar +5.7 134.9 69% 57–49 ✗
California Baptist @ Utah +2.3 143.2 56% 85–91 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal Poly +4.3 149.2 73% 88–84 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Villanova +22.5 143.9 90% 63–90 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Grand Canyon -4.4 141.8 43% 84–78 ✓
Florida State @ Houston +10.2 144.9 80% 67–82 ✓
Illinois @ Tennessee +1.4 146.6 53% 75–62 ✗
Ole Miss @ St. John's +14.6 149.9 87% 58–63 ✓
Montana @ North Dakota -4.2 148.1 40% 79–75 ✓
Northern Arizona @ North Dakota State +12.6 145.2 85% 68–69 ✓
Montana State @ Oral Roberts -7.7 148.2 25% 68–72 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Bradley +16.1 143.1 89% 55–84 ✓
Wichita State @ Northern Iowa +2.0 129.1 59% 74–69 ✗
Robert Morris @ Milwaukee -0.5 149.1 52% 72–74 ✗
Chicago State @ Illinois State +20.3 144.4 90% 53–95 ✓
South Dakota @ Northern Colorado +12.0 160.8 85% 87–89 ✓
Lindenwood @ Eastern Illinois -4.1 141.0 30% 82–74 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ DePaul +16.8 152.0 89% 72–76 ✓
Santa Clara @ New Mexico -2.2 146.4 48% 71–98 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Santa Barbara +11.5 146.1 86% 84–109 ✓
UC San Diego @ Long Beach State -10.4 145.7 17% 80–74 ✓
Arkansas State @ Little Rock -9.1 143.2 16% 90–78 ✓
Auburn @ Arizona +9.2 161.8 78% 68–97 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arizona State -3.5 151.9 27% 70–86 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +9.6 142.0 79% 71–85 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +13.4 157.2 89% 59–69 ✓
Air Force @ Navy +9.4 134.5 85% 56–61 ✓
Missouri @ Kansas +6.8 142.1 71% 60–80 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Indiana State +8.9 151.3 81% 55–77 ✓
Weber State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +4.6 151.6 70% 65–88 ✓
Fairfield @ Merrimack +1.5 139.9 57% 63–74 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Northeastern +2.2 144.3 57% 56–73 ✓
UTSA @ Alabama +24.6 162.9 90% 55–97 ✓
Austin Peay @ UT Rio Grande Valley +1.8 144.3 54% 50–63 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Davidson -5.1 141.7 27% 70–61 ✓
Iona @ Sacred Heart -1.2 163.9 52% 81–69 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Florida Gulf Coast -2.0 151.7 39% 81–76 ✓
Utah State @ Charlotte -6.7 139.8 21% 79–53 ✓
Rider @ Quinnipiac +14.7 145.2 90% 58–72 ✓
UIC @ Yale +14.2 144.7 87% 66–80 ✓
Niagara @ Saint Peter's +4.6 131.8 71% 43–71 ✓
Canisius @ Siena +15.6 127.3 90% 52–74 ✓
Manhattan @ Marist +10.1 135.6 82% 68–80 ✓
Saint Francis @ Radford +10.8 145.8 85% 56–89 ✓
LSU @ Texas Tech +1.2 150.2 64% 58–82 ✓
UL Monroe @ Stephen F. Austin +17.7 139.9 89% 76–96 ✓
Alabama State @ UT Martin +8.6 142.7 83% 64–74 ✓
Central Michigan @ Saint Louis +22.2 150.3 90% 65–107 ✓
San Francisco @ Mississippi State +0.1 149.2 61% 65–62 ✗
Towson @ UCF +9.4 140.6 75% 61–86 ✓
UNLV @ Stanford +11.7 159.5 87% 75–74 ✗
Hofstra @ Pittsburgh +5.3 137.4 71% 80–73 ✗
Belmont @ Middle Tennessee +2.6 146.9 65% 83–62 ✗
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +7.1 132.0 78% 76–68 ✗
Georgetown @ North Carolina +14.8 147.8 87% 61–81 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Lipscomb +14.6 138.3 87% 58–92 ✓
Nevada @ Washington State -1.2 147.1 43% 78–64 ✓
Creighton @ Nebraska +6.6 151.9 78% 50–71 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +6.8 142.7 77% 58–86 ✓
Texas A&M @ SMU +2.7 160.2 53% 80–93 ✓
TCU @ North Texas -4.8 134.8 30% 65–55 ✓
Central Arkansas @ East Texas A&M +2.5 143.6 63% 68–75 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.