Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -470 SDAK +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +2 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -15.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -12.0 (-10.0) | 160.8 (+15.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -12.6 (-10.6) | 152.7 (+23.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -13.2 (-11.2) | 152.9 (+23.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -12.3 (-10.3) | 155.8 (+20.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2021 | UNCO 74 – 69 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.8 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 81.7 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#121) | -7.0 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#79) | -1.21 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#69) | -1.25 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#140) | 0.421 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 38.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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