Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -14.8 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -8.5 (-3.5) | 142.1 (+0.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -11.4 (-6.4) | 144.4 (-1.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -11.3 (-6.3) | 144.9 (-1.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -11.0 (-6.0) | 142.7 (+0.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | UNCO 89 – 87 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#150) | -8.7 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#114) | -0.16 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#111) | -0.57 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#67) | 0.462 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 78.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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