Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ILST -4500 CHST +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +42 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -23.2 (+18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -24.8 (+17.2) | 145.4 (+2.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ILST -20.3 (+21.7) | 144.4 (+3.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ILST -20.5 (+21.5) | 144.1 (+3.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -22.0 (+20.0) | 144.6 (+3.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2022 | ILST 66 – 52 CHST |
| Dec 11, 2021 | ILST 81 – 71 CHST |
| Dec 15, 2020 | ILST 91 – 62 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-6 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#95) | -12.4 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#97) | -3.26 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#111) | -4.18 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#97) | 0.402 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 60.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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