Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -300 CHST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +14 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -4.3 (+9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -3.4 (+10.6) | 140.7 (-22.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -5.0 (+9.0) | 137.1 (-19.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -4.0 (+10.0) | 137.5 (-19.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -4.0 (+10.0) | 141.6 (-23.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | ILST 95 – 53 CHST |
| Dec 11, 2021 | ILST 81 – 71 CHST |
| Dec 15, 2020 | ILST 91 – 62 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 0-0 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-0 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-20 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#278) | -5.3 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#228) | -1.09 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#252) | -1.28 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#234) | 0.423 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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