Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -10.0 Push |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CHST +360 ILST -475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +10 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | CHST -0.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -1.4 (-11.4) | 148.4 (+3.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHST -0.0 (-10.0) | 153.5 (-1.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHST -0.6 (-10.6) | 151.2 (+0.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -1.8 (-11.8) | 148.3 (+3.7) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | ILST 95 – 53 CHST |
| Dec 20, 2022 | ILST 66 – 52 CHST |
| Dec 15, 2020 | ILST 91 – 62 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-15 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#319) | -5.1 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#274) | -1.04 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#287) | -1.04 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#325) | 0.410 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | ILST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 24.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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