Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | ILST -7000 CHST +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +29 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -24.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -16.8 (+12.2) | 143.3 (+9.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -16.5 (+12.5) | 146.8 (+6.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -19.8 (+9.2) | 145.5 (+7.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -18.8 (+10.2) | 143.8 (+9.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | ILST 95 – 53 CHST |
| Dec 20, 2022 | ILST 66 – 52 CHST |
| Dec 11, 2021 | ILST 81 – 71 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-18 | 0-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 0-0 |
| Home | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Away | 3-9 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 55.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 88.7 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#222) | -22.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#143) | -3.16 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#120) | -4.79 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#168) | 0.351 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 23.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 25.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 5.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 38.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 15.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 60.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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