Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +42 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -29.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -25.1 (+16.9) | 148.3 (+23.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SLU -22.2 (+19.8) | 150.3 (+21.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SLU -23.3 (+18.7) | 148.8 (+23.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -25.4 (+16.6) | 150.0 (+22.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 19-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#26) | -9.7 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.48 (#29) | -1.89 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#30) | -2.92 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#32) | 0.393 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.