Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | KU -270 MIZ +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +20 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | KU -4.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.6 (+17.4) | 140.9 (-0.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.3 (+16.7) | 142.2 (-2.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.2 (+16.8) | 141.7 (-1.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.0 (+17.0) | 142.3 (-2.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | MIZ 76 – 67 KU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | KU 73 – 64 MIZ |
| Dec 10, 2022 | KU 95 – 67 MIZ |
| Dec 11, 2021 | KU 102 – 65 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#25) | 11.0 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#24) | 1.24 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.29 (#18) | 1.88 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#36) | 0.516 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 54.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 61.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 40.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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