Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -23.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +37 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | KU -28.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -25.5 (+11.5) | 147.3 (+19.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -18.4 (+18.6) | 145.2 (+21.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -22.9 (+14.1) | 148.7 (+18.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -24.9 (+12.1) | 148.7 (+18.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | KU 80 – 60 MIZ |
| Dec 8, 2024 | MIZ 76 – 67 KU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | KU 73 – 64 MIZ |
| Dec 10, 2022 | KU 95 – 67 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 19-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#9) | -6.0 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#13) | -0.67 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.11 (#4) | -1.06 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#18) | 0.421 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 24.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.4% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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