I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
Allen Fieldhouse · December 9, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KU -13.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money KU -1000 / MIZ +650
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +9 137 Won
Massey KU -15.6 (-6.6) — —
Massey Totals — 140.2 (-3.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KU -13.4 (-4.4) 141.8 (-4.8) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KU -11.8 (-2.8) 143.5 (-6.5) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KU -12.9 (-3.9) 140.7 (-3.7) 87% ✓
Baseline ML KU -13.4 (-4.4) 141.3 (-4.3) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2025 KU 80 – 60 MIZ
Dec 8, 2024 MIZ 76 – 67 KU
Dec 10, 2022 KU 95 – 67 MIZ
Dec 11, 2021 KU 102 – 65 MIZ

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU MIZ
Overall 23-11 8-24
Conference 10-8 0-18
Home 15-1 6-11
Away 3-7 2-10
Neutral 4-3 0-3
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L19
Avg Pts For 75.3 72.2
Avg Pts Against 70.3 76.2
Massey 13.5 (#18) 3.4 (#115)
Bradley-Terry 3.11 (#16) 1.14 (#89)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.64 (#13) 1.94 (#74)
RPI 0.643 (#17) 0.535 (#123)
Shooting & Four Factors KU MIZ
FG% 52.8% 45.5%
3PT% 41.0% 35.1%
REB / G 38.4 34.1
OREB / G 7.4 9.1
AST / TO 1.83 1.28
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 59.3% 53.7%
TOV% 17.1% 16.5%
ORB% 24.5% 26.6%
FT Rate 23.9% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.7% 46.3%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 20.7%
DRB% 73.4% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 15.5% 24.6%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.