Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | KU -1000 MIZ +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | KU -15.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -11.8 (-2.8) | 143.5 (-6.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -12.9 (-3.9) | 140.7 (-3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -13.4 (-4.4) | 141.3 (-4.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -13.4 (-4.4) | 141.8 (-4.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | KU 80 – 60 MIZ |
| Dec 8, 2024 | MIZ 76 – 67 KU |
| Dec 10, 2022 | KU 95 – 67 MIZ |
| Dec 11, 2021 | KU 102 – 65 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 0-18 |
| Home | 15-1 | 6-11 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L19 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#18) | 3.4 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#16) | 1.14 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.64 (#13) | 1.94 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.643 (#17) | 0.535 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.3% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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