Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
| Money | MIZ +130 KU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +28 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -2.0 (-30.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -0.5 (-28.5) | 156.4 (+5.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -2.9 (-30.9) | 159.4 (+2.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -3.0 (-31.0) | 159.9 (+2.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -3.2 (-31.2) | 158.5 (+3.5) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | KU 80 – 60 MIZ |
| Dec 8, 2024 | MIZ 76 – 67 KU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | KU 73 – 64 MIZ |
| Dec 11, 2021 | KU 102 – 65 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 16-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#47) | 12.5 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#12) | 3.02 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.22 (#13) | 3.56 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#81) | 0.648 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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