Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -1000 SFPA +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +33 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -11.3 (+21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -10.8 (+22.2) | 145.8 (-0.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -8.7 (+24.3) | 144.4 (+0.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -9.0 (+24.0) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -9.4 (+23.6) | 148.0 (-3.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | RAD 79 – 70 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 7-24 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.8 | 83.1 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#318) | -17.7 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.65 (#356) | -4.24 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.40 (#359) | -6.44 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#336) | 0.366 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 60.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.