Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NE -120 CCSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | NE -3.4 (+13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -2.2 (+14.8) | 144.3 (-15.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -3.1 (+13.9) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -2.3 (+14.7) | 143.0 (-14.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -2.2 (+14.8) | 145.1 (-16.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | NE 80 – 62 CCSU |
| Dec 20, 2023 | NE 79 – 74 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 2-10 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#200) | -1.0 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.65 (#231) | 0.96 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#237) | 0.90 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#260) | 0.580 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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